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  1. #11
    Guardian of Knowledge RBNXD's Avatar
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    Yeah but i had the same result with 5
    LacieLane 135 Wizard
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  2. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by RBNXD View Post
    Yeah but i had the same result with 5
    I believe you did but you can't draw conclusions from a group of 5. If you unleash statistics uppon a measurement/experiment your group of measurements (N) has to be great enough to get a result which result you can trust for say 95%. If N is too small this % will go down and you have a high chance of making the mistake that the found percentage (the sucesschance of the SES) is actually deviating too much from the real value.

    I'm too lazy to do this for my ''experiment'' but I can assume that a pool of say 100 ses at least is needed to get a reliable result. 5 is way too few
    Last edited by White Arctic Fox; 01-21-2016 at 09:32 PM.
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  3. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by RBNXD View Post
    Yeah but i had the same result with 5
    Quote Originally Posted by snipers334 View Post
    I believe you did but you can't draw conclusions from a group of 5. If you unleash statistics uppon a measurement/experiment your group of measurements (N) has to be great enough to get a result which result you can trust for say 95%. If N is too small this % will go down and you have a high chance of making the mistake that the found percentage (the sucesschange of the SES) is actually deviating too much from the real value.

    I'm too lazy to do this for my ''experiment'' but I can assume that a pool of say 100 ses at least is needed to get a reliable result. 5 is way too few
    Yep - ziggy hit it on the head as the law of large numbers. The bigger the number pool, the less it is a matter of luck and more a matter of probability distribution.

  4. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Baked12345 View Post
    It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool
    No. Learn maths.

  5. #15
    Guardian of Knowledge RBNXD's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baked12345 View Post
    It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool
    Lol?
    Rohan rates aren't a fix success chance if you experiment like sniper did. Rates work more like a roulette and not always get the result you want or at least was expecting that is why i got the 5 ses vs 86? amount example. You're new here it seems :l
    LacieLane 135 Wizard
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  6. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by Baked12345 View Post
    It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool
    How much of a fool do you have to be to think its 50/50 chance because there are 2 results.


    This isnt a coin flip situation this is a color picking system.

    In the normal bag I have 75 blue (fail) chips and 25 red (success) chips.



    Except even that is wrong because the korean ses trick allows you to pick from the bag an infinite amount of times until you get a red chip.

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  7. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by PenguinJoe View Post
    Yep - ziggy hit it on the head as the law of large numbers. The bigger the number pool, the less it is a matter of luck and more a matter of probability distribution.
    My name isn't ziggy tho XD

    Quote Originally Posted by Baked12345 View Post
    It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool
    This made me cry (a littlebit), as a scientist to-be I hope you never have to do any statistics related work lol.
    Last edited by White Arctic Fox; 01-21-2016 at 09:40 PM.
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  8. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by sunnyangel View Post
    How much of a fool do you have to be to think its 50/50 chance because there are 2 results.


    This isnt a coin flip situation this is a color picking system.

    In the normal bag I have 75 blue (fail) chips and 25 red (success) chips.



    Except even that is wrong because the korean ses trick allows you to pick from the bag an infinite amount of times until you get a red chip.

    Can you explain a few things to me I've been wondering for awhile?

    - What's the set value of miss chance every weapon has, I believe dagger has 100% hitrate while all other weapons have 95%?
    - Is this SES trick the one you sit down for alot of times while using a SES till at at a certain time you stand up and it succeeds?
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  9. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Baked12345 View Post
    It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool
    Baked you should go to a casino and play roulette, let's say you wait till the roulette wheel hits 2 times after each red or black then the next time you have more chance to hit black or red depending which it hit 2 times so you put your money on the opposite color and you win!!!!!!!!

    lol :X
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  10. #20
    May I have some of those skill enhancement stone? Badly needed.

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