Yeah but i had the same result with 5![]()
Yeah but i had the same result with 5![]()
LacieLane 135 Wizard
Priestess 128 Priest
Quit!!!
I believe you did but you can't draw conclusions from a group of 5. If you unleash statistics uppon a measurement/experiment your group of measurements (N) has to be great enough to get a result which result you can trust for say 95%. If N is too small this % will go down and you have a high chance of making the mistake that the found percentage (the sucesschance of the SES) is actually deviating too much from the real value.
I'm too lazy to do this for my ''experiment'' but I can assume that a pool of say 100 ses at least is needed to get a reliable result. 5 is way too few
Last edited by White Arctic Fox; 01-21-2016 at 09:32 PM.
Salve - Dragon Sage
Superiors - Guildmaster
New/Returning Player Guide
http://forum.playrohan.com/forum/sho...#axzz5nYmMs51h
Yep - ziggy hit it on the head as the law of large numbers. The bigger the number pool, the less it is a matter of luck and more a matter of probability distribution.I believe you did but you can't draw conclusions from a group of 5. If you unleash statistics uppon a measurement/experiment your group of measurements (N) has to be great enough to get a result which result you can trust for say 95%. If N is too small this % will go down and you have a high chance of making the mistake that the found percentage (the sucesschange of the SES) is actually deviating too much from the real value.
I'm too lazy to do this for my ''experiment'' but I can assume that a pool of say 100 ses at least is needed to get a reliable result. 5 is way too few
Lol?
Rohan rates aren't a fix success chance if you experiment like sniper did. Rates work more like a roulette and not always get the result you want or at least was expecting that is why i got the 5 ses vs 86? amount example. You're new here it seems :l
LacieLane 135 Wizard
Priestess 128 Priest
Quit!!!
How much of a fool do you have to be to think its 50/50 chance because there are 2 results.
This isnt a coin flip situation this is a color picking system.
In the normal bag I have 75 blue (fail) chips and 25 red (success) chips.
Except even that is wrong because the korean ses trick allows you to pick from the bag an infinite amount of times until you get a red chip.
Iceyy~~No longer a Rohan Expert
ROHAN: Game s0x
Unofficial post count: Whatever it says on the left + 9461
My name isn't ziggy tho XD
This made me cry (a littlebit), as a scientist to-be I hope you never have to do any statistics related work lol.
Last edited by White Arctic Fox; 01-21-2016 at 09:40 PM.
Salve - Dragon Sage
Superiors - Guildmaster
New/Returning Player Guide
http://forum.playrohan.com/forum/sho...#axzz5nYmMs51h
How much of a fool do you have to be to think its 50/50 chance because there are 2 results.
This isnt a coin flip situation this is a color picking system.
In the normal bag I have 75 blue (fail) chips and 25 red (success) chips.
Except even that is wrong because the korean ses trick allows you to pick from the bag an infinite amount of times until you get a red chip.
Can you explain a few things to me I've been wondering for awhile?
- What's the set value of miss chance every weapon has, I believe dagger has 100% hitrate while all other weapons have 95%?
- Is this SES trick the one you sit down for alot of times while using a SES till at at a certain time you stand up and it succeeds?
Salve - Dragon Sage
Superiors - Guildmaster
New/Returning Player Guide
http://forum.playrohan.com/forum/sho...#axzz5nYmMs51h
Baked you should go to a casino and play roulette, let's say you wait till the roulette wheel hits 2 times after each red or black then the next time you have more chance to hit black or red depending which it hit 2 times so you put your money on the opposite color and you win!!!!!!!!
lol :X
Salve - Dragon Sage
Superiors - Guildmaster
New/Returning Player Guide
http://forum.playrohan.com/forum/sho...#axzz5nYmMs51h
May I have some of those skill enhancement stone? Badly needed.