Anyone wondered about ses successrate? I put it to the test lol

[RBNXD]

It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool

yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail
I still cant believe you wrote that.

[White Arctic Fox]

yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail
I still cant believe you wrote that.

Not sure if he was serious(even if he was I don't think he'd admit so), I'm however not really suprised, I've seen far more stupid comments on this forum by other people LOL

[aliencreature]

Not sure if he was serious(even if he was I don't think he'd admit so), I'm however not really suprised, I've seen far more stupid comments on this forum by other people LOL

Maybe he was drunk when he wrote that :X Anyhow, he's still new to the game... this might be the reason behind his post.

[White Arctic Fox]

Maybe he was drunk when he wrote that :X Anyhow, he's still new to the game... this might be the reason behind his post.

You mean the reason might be that he never had any maths LOL

[PenguinJoe]

It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool

Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

[EaglePhoenix]

Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

Does static electricity count? 'Cause the other day..

[PenguinJoe]

Better buy yourself some lottery tickets then

[lostghost]

WTF its like 87 x 40.000.000 = 3.480.000.000 crones damn some players are really rich xd

I got only 5 of those... Its hard to get. But someone told me that i should try FISHING...!!!

[lostghost]

yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail
I still cant believe you wrote that.

Yikes.. if that's a farmed SES... you're be going to be like that...!!!!

[White Arctic Fox]

Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

Fine explanation but I think he just ran to the lottery office to buy his tickets :P

As for the lightning, f*ck it let me get struck while I'm in a subway #cageofFaraday