Anyone wondered about ses successrate? I put it to the test lol

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Originally Posted by Baked12345

It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool

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yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail :)
I still cant believe you wrote that.

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Originally Posted by RBNXD

yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail :)
I still cant believe you wrote that.

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Not sure if he was serious(even if he was I don't think he'd admit so), I'm however not really suprised, I've seen far more stupid comments on this forum by other people LOL

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Originally Posted by snipers334

Not sure if he was serious(even if he was I don't think he'd admit so), I'm however not really suprised, I've seen far more stupid comments on this forum by other people LOL

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Maybe he was drunk when he wrote that :X Anyhow, he's still new to the game... this might be the reason behind his post.

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Originally Posted by aliencreature

Maybe he was drunk when he wrote that :X Anyhow, he's still new to the game... this might be the reason behind his post.

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You mean the reason might be that he never had any maths LOL

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Originally Posted by Baked12345

It will be a difficult thing to test... it is always 50/50 chance with it since there are only 2 results looool

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Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

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Originally Posted by PenguinJoe

Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

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Does static electricity count? 'Cause the other day..

Better buy yourself some lottery tickets then :p

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Originally Posted by samiks

WTF its like 87 x 40.000.000 = 3.480.000.000 crones damn some players are really rich xd

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I got only 5 of those... Its hard to get. But someone told me that i should try FISHING...!!!

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Originally Posted by RBNXD

yeah 2 results that are 20% chance to succeed or 80% chance to fail :)
I still cant believe you wrote that.

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Yikes.. if that's a farmed SES... you're be going to be like that...!!!!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by PenguinJoe

Rather than give you as belittling response, I will educate you in some statistical concepts.

number of outcomes = 2

A quantified chance of desired outcome is not the same as dividing 100 by the number of possible outcomes. Quantified chance is a weighting applied to each outcome that determines the possibility of that outcome to appear. Each outcome in a FAIR game of chance has the same weight - which would indeed be 100 / the number of outcomes. However in a game such as this that weighting is far higher on the losing outcome making the chance of a winning outcome far less likely.

An example of this is a lottery having 2 possibilities - "Win Jackpot" or "No Win" :
Now using the 100/2 rules is it likely that the numbers 7, 12, 13, 38, 40, 47 will have a 50/50 chance of winning the jackpot? That is like saying you have a 50/50 chance of being struck by lightning on a sunny day while riding a subway.

Do you see the difference between number of possible outcomes and the odds of getting the desired outcome? They are far from the same.

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Fine explanation but I think he just ran to the lottery office to buy his tickets :P

As for the lightning, f*ck it let me get struck while I'm in a subway #cageofFaraday